Showing posts with label aud/usd. Show all posts
Showing posts with label aud/usd. Show all posts

Friday, 26 July 2013

Yen and Dollar to strengthen next week?



The longer term picture for Japanese Yen and US dollar are quite bullish. You hopefully noticed that the most recent strength in US dollar index was basically due to the fact that Yen was weak. You could actually see dollar weakening in most pairs and strengthening on the Yen and dollar index strengthening at the same time. This has been changing lately. You can see how dollar weakened this weak across most currency pairs, not necessarily Yen, and dollar index collapsed. Anyway, we have very rich week upcoming. Major economies will announce their interest rates decision: US, Europe and UK. I do hope to see some ‘fireworks’. 

On the one hand aud/usd and nzd/usd displaying clear technical bullish patterns. On the other US dollar index is close to its’ support. What does that mean? Being a technician I am ready to go either way. Commodity currencies look bullish against most other currency pairs too: Euro, British Pound and Swiss Franc. I am thinking about going long in aud/usd and shorting gbp/aud, gbp/nzd as well as eur/nzd and eur/aud. It looks like major time for correction in these pairs has come. And the timing for that seems to strike next week. Get ready and do your own analysis over the weekend.

Tuesday, 4 June 2013

US dollar under pressure

Yesterday delivered a terrible blow to the US dollar. Extremely worse than expected ISM Manufacturing numbers caused the greenback to collapse across the board. It is very likely that the trend will continue.

Bank of Australia left interest rates unchanged and this gives hope that the aussie will regain its' strength and change the intermediate trend from downwards to upwards. Today we have Australia's Gross domestic product numbers coming out at 01:30 GMT and if they are good this will spike a rally in most aussie crosses as well as in aud/usd.

Although aud/usd retraced today, it still looks bullish and ready to advance. I can see technical accumulation taking place. Let us wait and see what GDP number come out. See you tomorrow.