Showing posts with label usd/cad. Show all posts
Showing posts with label usd/cad. Show all posts

Saturday, 1 June 2013

Euro up and Loonie down

Euro had mixed reactions on a little bit better than expected CPI data from Europe. What will happen to European currency next week is hard to tell. However, looking at eur/usd price action you might guess that 1.3150 level is probably in the cards. At least, that's what I am getting ready for Monday and Tuesday. It is not quite clear whether eur/gbp will follow the price action. Time will show. I will concentrate on eur/usd for now.

Now, loonie went down against most currencies. The data was better than expected. Unfortunately, or should I say fortunately Canadian dollar went down. usd/cad and eur/cad are trying to make new highs and found it difficult to do for some time now. Next week could be the breaking point. I will post key events for the coming week tomorrow. One thing is clear, it will be key for commodity currencies. See you tomorrow.

Wednesday, 29 May 2013

News from Canada can cause loonie to collapse

Hi, folks. We are having quite a lot of important releases this week. Today is very significant, because Bank of Canada will announce its' interest rate decision. As you may see most of Canadian dollar pairs have been in pretty ugly ranges. Some tried to make new highs: such as usd/cad and gbp/cad, but failed. I guess today will be the day  when the loonie will collapse. Of course, this is just my speculation, but do not forget that interest rate decisions are the most important fundamental events in Forex market. So, be sure to watch what happens at 14.00 GMT today.

I am also expecting Euro to go down against US dollar and finally breach 1.2800 level and then go to last year low of around 1.2000. It may take some time. Friday may be key for Euro as we have Euro zone consumer price index coming out. That should send eur/usd and eur/gbp to their lows. I am already short eur/gbp and if Friday sees a breakout lower I will add to my position in the pair and likewise in Euro dollar short. Ok, enough for today. Hope to update my blog soon.