Wednesday, 17 July 2013

Pound reverses course after minutes



Yesterday was a bad day for British Pound when CPI was released. However, today the picture changed as Bank of England minutes were released and Pound rallied against all currency pairs. In most cases the move was around one hundred pips in a matter of a few minutes. I do expect this strength to continue as bullish minutes show intentions of Bank of England to increase interest rates in the nearest future. It may not do so, but as inflation picks up they will be forced to do that sooner rather than later. 

Another risk even is coming in about ten minutes when chief of Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke will give a speech on semiannual policy to the House. The bias remains bearish for the US dollar. The last thing that can move markets today is the interest rate decision from the Central Bank of Canada. Canadian dollar looks slightly bullish, particularly against Japanese Yen and possibly US dollar. However, we have to see what Ben Bernanke points out to US politicians regarding his financial policy. I am intending to buy eur/usd above 1.3155 and cad/jpy if it goes above 96.10 level with a 30 pip stop. The take profit area is around 97.00 for cad/jpy and 1.3290 for eur/usd.

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