Friday, 26 July 2013

Yen and Dollar to strengthen next week?



The longer term picture for Japanese Yen and US dollar are quite bullish. You hopefully noticed that the most recent strength in US dollar index was basically due to the fact that Yen was weak. You could actually see dollar weakening in most pairs and strengthening on the Yen and dollar index strengthening at the same time. This has been changing lately. You can see how dollar weakened this weak across most currency pairs, not necessarily Yen, and dollar index collapsed. Anyway, we have very rich week upcoming. Major economies will announce their interest rates decision: US, Europe and UK. I do hope to see some ‘fireworks’. 

On the one hand aud/usd and nzd/usd displaying clear technical bullish patterns. On the other US dollar index is close to its’ support. What does that mean? Being a technician I am ready to go either way. Commodity currencies look bullish against most other currency pairs too: Euro, British Pound and Swiss Franc. I am thinking about going long in aud/usd and shorting gbp/aud, gbp/nzd as well as eur/nzd and eur/aud. It looks like major time for correction in these pairs has come. And the timing for that seems to strike next week. Get ready and do your own analysis over the weekend.

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